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Advanced Analysis

System Reliability Calculator

Reliability of series, parallel, and k-out-of-n configurations from the reliability of each component.

R = 1 − ∏(1 − Rᵢ)

System configurations

Series — all components must work
R = R₁ × R₂ × … × Rₙ

System reliability is always lower than the weakest component. Like a chain, it breaks at its weakest link.

Parallel — only one needs to work
R = 1 − ∏(1 − Rᵢ)

System reliability is always higher than the best component. Redundancy dramatically improves reliability.

k-out-of-n — at least k of n must work
R = Σ C(n, i) × pⁱ × (1 − p)ⁿ⁻ⁱ, for i = k … n

That formula is for identical components (each with reliability p). With different reliabilities the calculator sums the probability of every combination in which at least k work.

Common with voting systems, engine configurations (2-of-3), and RAID arrays.

Configuration comparison example

Three identical components, each with R = 0.90:

ConfigurationSystem reliabilityWorking
Series (all 3 must work)72.9%0.9 × 0.9 × 0.9
2-out-of-397.2%3(0.9)² − 2(0.9)³ — one can fail
Parallel (any 1 works)99.9%1 − (0.1)³

These assume independent failures; common-cause failures reduce the real benefit of redundancy.

Frequently asked questions

When should I use redundancy?
When the cost of failure exceeds the cost of adding redundant components. Common in safety systems (dual brakes), critical infrastructure (backup generators), and high-availability IT (RAID, load balancers).
What is the difference between active and standby redundancy?
Active redundancy: all units run simultaneously (hot standby). Standby redundancy: backup units activate only when the primary fails (cold/warm standby). Active is simpler but ages all units; standby preserves backup life but requires switching logic.